Nick Arama writes for about the president’s impact on Democrats’ chances to hold the U.S. Senate.

We’ve been covering a lot of data points that are moving in the direction of the Republicans just about a month before the midterm election. We see a Republican likely to win a House seat in Rhode Island — a deep-blue state — that hasn’t had a Republican in the position in 30 years. We also see Democrats saying they are up against it when it comes to money. They have to cover so many races where the Republicans are either winning or gaining. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) has confessed they’re going to have to abandon some races monetarily which could cost them the House.

While the Democrats are in trouble in the House races, they’re also having a difficult time in the Senate races. One of the reasons is the unpopularity of Joe Biden. We’ve seen members of Congress trying to duck appearing with him because they know that he’s still largely poison.

Take Democrat Cheri Beasley in the Friday night debate for the North Carolina Senate seat with Ted Budd. She does all she can to avoid answering that specific question about Biden.

“Would you stand on stage with [Joe Biden]?” Democrat Cheri Beasley: “Biden is certainly welcome to be here.” “But would you want to be with him for that visit?” Beasley: “We’ll just have to see if that’s something that’s – if we’re available.”

There’s a reason that she’s avoiding the question. It’s because Joe Biden is 13 points underwater in North Carolina, according to the Civiqs poll.

That’s the big data point here — that in the critical battleground states where people are slugging it out for the Senate, Biden — and therefore the Democrats — are in a big hole. How he is doing is a classic measure of judgment for the midterms, and in those critical states, he’s in a lot of trouble.