Human Events has a helpful rundown of how Blue Dog Democrats’ might vote on health-care reform. In all, HE predicts that “28 Blue Dogs are likely to vote for any initiative that Pelosi brings forward, and 24 are likely to vote against.”

Here’s HE‘s take on North Carolina’s two Blue Dog congressman, Heath Shuler and Mike McIntyre:

Rep. Heath Shuler (NC-11), Blue Dog Whip: Shuler is one of the more conservative members of the Blue Dog coalition. Shuler, as of August 19, said that he does not support HR3200, but Shuler did vote for Cap and Trade. He is likely a to vote with Republicans — but being the Whip of the Blue Dog Coalition — should Shuler vote for Pelosi?s bill it is likely that more will follow suit. Shuler is a major player and his actions and statements after Obama?s Joint Sessions address should be watched carefully as they will reflect on the Blue Dogs as a group. HUMAN EVENTS predicts that Shuler will vote with Republicans.

McIntyre, Mike (NC-07): McIntyre, who has still not held a public town hall meeting, has said that he is not yet convinced that the public option is the way to go with “the federal budget right now, we?re not in a position we can afford it.? McIntyre voted against Cap and Trade. Taking heat from liberals McIntrye is quoted in his hometown paper, The Robesonian of Lumberton, saying ?This bill provides medical benefits for illegal aliens. I can?t say it any more directly. That is absolutely unacceptable.? McIntyre has been called a true Blue Dog by HUMAN EVENTS sources and will vote with Republicans.