11:55 Final update. No call yet, but Republican Pat Toomey has moved past Joe Sestak to take the seat now held by serial party-switcher Arlen Specter. Good night, all.

11:44 Ellmers leads by about 2,000 votes with mail ballots to be counted. Etheridge will ask for recount, WTVD reports.

11:00 Barbara Boxer once again wins California.

10:55 Renee Ellmers now 3,000 votes ahead of Bob Etheridge, WRAL reports.

10:51 John Spratt, chairman of the House Budget Committee, loses his seat in S.C. Hard to spin this night as not a wave.

10:42 Not so fast, indeed. Ellmers now has a slim lead over Etheridge in HD 2. If she’s the only Republican winner in N.C. tonight …

10:39 Ron Johnson defeats one half of McCain-Feingold. The Democratic half.

10:36 Mike Lee wins Utah. It’s a GOP hold, but Lee defeated incumbent Bob Bennett in the Republican primary. Another Tea Party victory.

10:26 Not so fast? Ellmers within 400 votes of Etheridge in HD 2.

10:00 Shuler, Price declared winners. McIntyre, Kissell, Etheridge still looking good.

9:38 Democratic consultant Doug Schoen says the Democratic Party in the South is dead … except for North Carolina.

9:31 North Dakota GOP Gov. John Hoeven wins open Senate seat formerly held by Democrat Byron Dorgen. GOP +1

9:27 Incumbent Dem Allen Boyd loses in Florida, so does Carol Shea-Porter in New Hampshire.

9:21 Only 150 votes separate Chandler and Barr in KY-6.

9:07 NBC projects GOP takeover of House — 237 seats, or a 59-seat gain.

9:02 Incumbent Democrat Blanche Lincoln lost the Arkansas seat. No surprise, but the final margin of victory for John Boozman could be substantial.

8:57 FNC is calling West Virginia’s Senate seat for Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin, who’ll serve the final two years of the late Sen. Robert Byrd’s term. Since Manchin has promised to vote against much of President Obama’s agenda, this may not necessarily be good news for Democrats.

8:52 NYT’s Nate Silver puts Republican odds of taking House at 86 percent, with most likely outcome 233-202.

8:44 FNC projects incumbent Democrat Baron Hill loses Indiana 9 to Republican Todd Young. Considered a bellwether seat.

8:33 FNC projects incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello loses Va. HD 5; he’s the only House member Barack Obama personally campaigned for.

8:26 AP calls South Carolina HD 1 for Republican Tim Scott, 1st African-American Republican in U.S. House since J.C. Watts.

8:21 FNC projects Richard Burr winner of the North Carolina U.S. Senate seat. And with 534 of 640 precincts reporting (Kentucky HD6), incumbent Democrat Ben Chandler and Republican Andy Barr are in a dead heat, separated by about 500 votes of nearly 195,000 cast. Chandler was way ahead in early voting.

8:12 Big shock: AP calls NC House District 6 for Howard Coble (R).

8:00 FNC projects Marco Rubio beats Republican-turned-Independent Charlie Crist and Democratica Rep. Kendrick Meek and wins U.S. Senate seat. Also projects Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal holds Democratic Senate seat vs. Linda McMahon and that Chris Coons beats Christine O’Donnell in Delaware, holding the Senate seat for Democrats. Kelly Ayotte holds GOP Senate seat in New Hampshire, replacing retiring Judd Gregg and Roy Blunt wins Missouri Senate seat for GOP. Two more non-surprises: Richard Shelby holds seat in Alabama, Barbara Mikulski follows suit in Maryland.

7:43 p.m. Indiana 8 flips from Dem to Rep, according to CBS. This seat was held by Democrat Brad Ellsworth, who lost to Dan Coats in the Senate race.

7:38 p.m. Early State Board of Elections results — Burr 54, Marshall 45. It’s early, of course.

7:30 p.m. FNC projects Portman will hold GOP Senate seat. No surprise. Polls just closed in NC!

7:20 p.m. Indiana HD 9, Hill (incumbent D) vs. Young (R). Young up 54-41, 87/587 precincts reporting. (CBS)

7:08 p.m. Alvin Greene loses in S.C. (DeMint wins.) Patrick Leahy re-elected in Vermont.

7:00 p.m.  Fox projects Rand Paul wins Kentucky, Dan Coats wins Indiana. Pickup of one for GOP (Ind.).

6:47 p.m. New York Times statistical analyst Nate Silver promises a seat count and takeover projection sometime in the 7 p.m. hour. It’s worth tuning in for updates. But be sure to come back!

6:36 p.m. Update: Kentucky covers two time zones, so polls in the western half of the state close at 7 p.m. We’ll be watching the Paul-Conway Senate race. Same with Indiana.

6:23 p.m. The Wall Street Journal has this handy page showing hour-by-hour poll closing times across the country.

6:04 p.m. Good evening, political junkies. Pull up a chair and join us for coverage of the 2010 election. (I feel like Vin Scully.) Polls have closed in Kentucky and Indiana. First results should start trickling in.