AEI‘s November Political Report (not online) shows the following historical trend in Gallup/USA Today polls. The current 38-53 split is the worst the GOP has faced, but it is neither number is far from the historical average. Some pundits see a Republican rebound. This bounce may continue if more people see stories like this.
If the Election Were Held Today
|
Rep. |
Dem. |
Oct. 20-22, 2006 |
38 |
53 |
Oct. 2002 |
41 |
50 |
Oct 1998 |
44 |
47 |
Oct. 1994 |
45 |
49 |
Oct. 1990 |
45 |
55 |
Oct. 1986 |
35 |
44 |
Sept. 1986 |
40 |
54 |
Oct. 1982 |
42 |
52 |
Note: All samples are registered voters except the October 1986
(national adults) and the October 1982 (likely voters).