Eight days before voters decide key North Carolina elections, the head of the N.C. FreeEnterprise Foundation offered his expert assessment of the election campaigns’ likely outcomes.

Joe Stewart delivered his predictions and shared the data behind them during a speech to the John Locke Foundation’s Shaftesbury Society. In the video clip below, Stewart summarizes his findings under the heading “What’s ‘likely.'”

4:30 p.m. update: Click play below to watch the full presentation.