Ed Morrissey writes at HotAir.com about an interesting admission in one the nation’s leading legacy media outlets.
Talk about a statement against interests. Or perhaps this analysis from veteran Democrat adviser Doug Sosnick in the New York Times intends to be a final warning call to the Kamala Harris campaign.
In fairness, this reads more straightforwardly than a partisan panic-porn blast. Sosnick only allows himself one bit of partisan editorializing while noting that the data he sees suggests that Donald Trump has the clearest path to an Electoral College win. “Clearest” is a term of art in itself, as he rightly observes that the partisan trench warfare over the past two decades has made American presidential elections a constant vigil on the same seven states. …
… As for the “majority of Americans” that do not want four more years of Trump, I suppose that’s why we have elections, as well as the Electoral College. The issue isn’t that a majority opposes a return to the Trump presidency, it’s that Democrats haven’t been able to gin up that majority, despite their increasingly erratic and hysterical rhetoric.
Once readers get past that, though, Sosnick’s analysis and maps look pretty solid, given the data on hand at the moment. Trump has been solidifying his advantages in the Sun Belt, but all Harris has to do is hold all three Blue Wall states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin They have voted as a bloc since 1992, so that makes it more plausible a path to 270 … but only to 270. Sosnick thinks Arizona and Nevada are likely to tip to Trump, and both Georgia and North Carolina are leaning in that direction.
What happens if Harris loses PA, though? That certainly looks possible, thanks to GOP voter registration gains in a state Joe Biden only carried by 1.2 points.
