A new Civitas poll gives Republican Bill Brawley a six-percentage point advantage over Democrat Ann Newman in N.C. House District 103:
According to the poll of 350 registered voters in that district, 45 percent of voters said if the election for state representative were held today, they would vote for Brawley who is looking to replace retiring Rep. Jim Gulley (R). Thirty-nine percent said they would vote for Newman, and 16 percent said they were undecided.
Among voters who said they were most likely to vote in 2010, Brawley?s lead expands to 49 percent to 39 percent.
?House District 103 is one of those suburban swing districts that has been trending more Democratic over the past few years and, in fact, was carried by President Obama in 2008,? said Civitas Senior Legislative Analyst Chris Hayes. ?However, the growing number of unaffiliated voters that swept Obama into office last year are now going solidly for Republican candidates.?
State Rep. Jim Gulley, R-Mecklenburg, has represented the district seven terms but is retiring this year. Civitas’ House Partisan Index ranks it R+3, meaning it leans slightly Republican.
