A national poll of likely voters by Emerson College shows Joe Biden losing ground to Donald Trump following the Republican National Convention. Biden still leads. From Emerson:
Key Takeaways
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Trump’s approval at highest point since 2016
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General election gap tightening– Biden now leads by 2
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Trump continues to lose ground with voters 65 and older
So is this an outlier? Jim Geraghty, writing at National Review, puts it this way:
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight gives Emerson an “A-” grade, so the “this group of pollsters don’t know what they’re doing” probably is not going to fly.