by Jon Sanders
Research Editor and Senior Fellow, Regulatory Studies, John Locke Foundation
Image source: Screenshot of a Fox 8/Fox 46 story on the Carolina Panther’s recent Fan Fest 2021. On August 13, Bank of America Stadium officials confirmed the Panthers’ home venue would be at 100% capacity without mask mandates or the even more intrusive and categorically offensive “proof of vaccination.” Last season under severe government restrictions, the Panthers — like so many, many other businesses, large and small, across North Carolina — lost enormous amounts of money (estimated at $22 million in lost ticket, concessions, and merchandise sales).
This past week 99.4% of people in NC posed no threat of passing along COVID-19 to anyone, and over three-fourths (77.5%) of adult North Carolinians are estimated to be immune.
Here is the NC Threat-Free Index for the week ending August 16:
For August 16, the estimate is now over three-fourths (77.5%) of adult North Carolinians with immunity (vaccine-induced immunity and natural immunity), using CDC estimates of actual infections and DHHS estimates of current vaccinations and the formula outlined here.
Recall that Cooper’s standard of immunity was two-thirds (66.7%) of adult North Carolinians partially vaccinated. This standard had no regard whatsoever for natural immunity from actual infection, even though that is the stronger and more durable immunity. Vaccination is a means, not the end — the goal is herd immunity. With 63 percent of North Carolinians already partially vaccinated, that should be more than sufficient for North Carolinians to be past two-thirds goal of adult North Carolinians with immunity.
Furthermore, including vaccinated and naturally immune children (18 and under) into the mix, North Carolina is at 73.7% immunity. As a reminder, it is widely accepted that herd immunity from Covid-19 is with 70% of people immune.
Most of the “new” deaths announced in the past week actually occurred within the past two months. Even though 116 of the 121 deaths occurred in July through August, DHHS continued its strange trickle of reported “new” deaths actually occurring months and months past, even into 2020. Four “new” deaths had actually occurred between September 2020 and January 2021.
One “new” death reported in the last week had actually occurred this same month but last year.