Who wins because of Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour’s decision not to run for president in 2012? Mark Halperin of TIME has some thoughts on the subject:

Tim Pawlenty and, if they run, Mitch Daniels and Jon Huntsman stand the best chances of scooping up Barbour’s staff and fundraisers; whoever takes the lion’s share of Barbour’s backers becomes the establishment alternative to front runner Mitt Romney. If he runs, Mike Huckabee will have a clearer shot in the key primaries of South Carolina and Florida and a chance to be the race’s dominant Southern candidate (unless Newt Gingrich suddenly steps up his game). But Romney can rest assured that his fundraising abilities will remain unmatched — for the time being.