Liberty
GOP ‘doomers’ might be overreacting
Byron York writes for Townhall.com about Republican pessimism heading into the midterm elections. This has been the week that a deep sense of pessimism about the upcoming midterm elections set…
Cook Political Report
Elections & Public Integrity
Introducing the 2026 Civitas Partisan Index
With candidate filing for the 2026 election starting on Dec. 1, it’s a good time to take stock of the electoral landscape in North Carolina. With that in mind, here…
Elections & Public Integrity
The Civitas Partisan Index Was Highly Reliable Again in 2024
NOTE: Lawsuits may affect the outcome of some races. If there are any changes, we will update this post. With the 2024 (almost) behind us, it is time to assess…
Liberty
Tester Can’t Hide From Harris’ Electoral Shadow
M.D. Kittle writes for the Federalist about the Democratic presidential nominee’s clear negative impact on the Montana Senate race. Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont., is trailing his Republican challenger, Bozeman businessman…
Elections & Public Integrity
Introducing the 2024 Civitas Partisan Index
(UPDATE: The CPI score for two House districts was entered incorrectly. The CPI score for district 34 should be D+15, not D+23. The CPI score for district 100 should be…
Elections & Public Integrity
What are the Partisan leanings of North Carolina’s Proposed Legislative Maps?
October 26 Update: The General Assembly ratified amended versions of Senate Bill 758 and House Bill 898 on October 25. The changes are mostly minor and do not change the…
Liberty
Redistricting: Shaping the Political Landscape for 2024
The fall season in North Carolina brings with it the promise of not just colorful leaves on trees but a pivotal shift in redistricting. The Tar Heel state is no…
Elections & Public Integrity
SCOTUS Cases May Establish Brackets for Race and Redistricting Claims
A case out of South Carolina could help set limits on claims of racial gerrymandering, further clarifying how such claims may affect districts the North Carolina General Assembly will draw…
Liberty
Jordan Making Push for Speaker
Reese Gorman writes for the Washington Examiner about a leading candidate to replace Kevin McCarthy as U.S. House speaker. Rep. Jim Jordan R-OH) is trying to bolster support for his…
Research Brief
Elections & Public Integrity
Alabama Racial Gerrymandering Case Will Likely Have Little Impact on North Carolina
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Alabama’s congressional map was a racial gerrymander. The totality of several racial gerrymandering cases creates a safe harbor between violating the Voting Rights Act…
Research Brief
Elections & Public Integrity
The Civitas Partisan Index Proved Highly Reliable in 2022
The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendencies of North Carolina legislative districts. The CPI proved to have solid predictive data in 2022. Several factors, most…
Liberty
New Hampshire Democrats Make Good Case Against Biden
Philip Caldwell writes for the Washington Free Beacon about criticism of Joe Biden from his own party. Vulnerable Democrats in New Hampshire are distancing themselves from President Joe Biden, repudiating…