While most North Carolina General Assembly districts trend Republican, this looks like a good year for Democrats. They enjoy a 48-42.6 percent advantage over Republicans on the state legislative generic…
For the first time in several years, North Carolina will use all the same state legislative districts for two elections in a row. That, coupled with the release of the…
Election day is upon us, and with it come many eyes on battleground states like North Carolina that will determine who will be the next President of the United States. …
The 2022 election was good for Republicans in North Carolina, as a red wave swept them to victories in every statewide election in the state and a supermajority in the…
[S]omeone using the CPI without any other data would have successfully predicted 90 percent of state legislative races in 2018 and over 94 percent of races in 2020
The Princeton Gerrymandering Project purports to measure gerrymandering objectively. The PGP's measure of gerrymandering is not based on any objective standard but the analysts' opinion and preferences, however. In nearly…
Michael Barone of the Washington Examiner applies lessons from last week’s high-profile congressional special elections. Georgia’s 6th District was significant because it’s a traditionally Republican district whose college-educated voters (59…
Brandon Finnigan reminds us at National Review Online that the idea of “red” and “blue” states is more myth than fact. It is foolish to look at the national map…
Michael Barone dissects Donald Trump’s electoral win in a column posted at Human Events. Hillary Clinton hoped to win with votes of Northeasterners, including those who have moved south along…
JLF head John Hood’s column today focuses on the importance of region in North Carolina elections. The first four paragraphs: If Republican Thom Tillis were running for the U.S. Senate…
Michael Barone of the Washington Examiner aims his electoral number-crunching talents at the data surrounding voter turnout for 2014. Missouri has no race for senator or governor this year, which…
As North Carolina’s redistricting reformers continue to make their case, a new Bloomberg Businessweek article discusses one potential impact from congressional election map gerrymandering that the map drawers probably did…