Byron York, chief political correspondent for the Washington Examiner, offers his observations in a new column this morning:

All around, there are Democrats telling us their prospects for November are looking up. Things aren’t as bad as Republicans say! Health care is becoming more popular! The country wants financial reform! People still like Barack Obama! Isn’t Joe Barton awful!

They’re fooling themselves. The basic indicators of voters’ intentions — their general mood and attitude toward the policies of Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid — are clear and solid. Unless those indicators change, and most experts believe that would take a huge, unforeseen event that fundamentally alters the political equation, Democrats are in for serious losses this November. The only question is whether those losses will be big enough for them to lose their huge majorities in the House and Senate. Even if they’re not, the party will be badly weakened in the next Congress.