Yet again, forecasters have dimmed the light on the aspect of an active hurricane season much to the chagrin of global climate change zealots.
Hurricane forecaster William Gray’s team
downgraded its expectations for the 2006 Atlantic storm season Friday,
calling for a slightly below-average year, with only five hurricanes
instead of the seven previously forecast.
Two of the hurricanes will be intense, according the team, based at Colorado State University.
It was the second time they had downgraded their forecast in a month.
Interesting use of a picture, not even a slight breeze is blowing. .
. . But the real question for me is whether the orginal forecast was
led by the post-Katrina/Rita hype more than the science of
forecasting? If Colorado State isn’t careful, they’ll risk being
the next Farmer’s Almanac of cyclonic prediction.
Here’s my weather prediction. We’ll have some hurricanes in
the future, some will be intense, some won’t. At some poin one of
them is going to hit land in the U.S. and do lots of damage. And
the hurricane will be caused by sunshine, ocean water, condensation,
and atmospheric heating and cooling. Oh, and cyclonic
activity.
