Here’s a followup to Chad’s post Friday about the uncertainty of near-term hurricane prediction computer modeling and credulity toward long-long-term global-warming prediction computer modeling. This is from AccuWeather.com’s1 headlines on Ophelia, the storm that might lead to my second highly obscure Shakespeare quotation this week:

And you wonder why meteorologists turn grey before their time. Just look at the path that Ophelia has taken since last week. She has gone up, down and sideways. Now who could have forecasted that? … By the way, Ophelia has gone from being a tropical storm to a hurricane 3 times, and that is likely to happen again before landfall.

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Note

1. Home to our friend Joe Bastardi.