by Mitch Kokai
Senior Political Analyst, John Locke Foundation
Conventional wisdom says that Democrats are in serious trouble. …
… According to this narrative, Republicans have the upper hand in 2020. All they have to do is let President Trump drive the Left batty, pass a few pieces of relatively minor legislation, and watch Democrats implode. Democrats won’t be able to win just by trotting out Maxine Waters and Al Franken. They’ll have to do something to put the pieces back together.
There’s only one problem with this narrative: It isn’t true.
Since 2006, opposition to the president in power has been a gold mine for the party out of power. It turns out that the greatest unifier isn’t ideology, but reactionary opposition. …
… From 2008 to 2016, the GOP picked up approximately 1,000 state legislative seats. They won a landslide in the House in 2010, and they won the Senate in 2014. Then they won the White House. How? The disagreements in the Republican caucus didn’t go away. Republicans campaigned against Obama.